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GROWTH

Competency testy - barnum effect or a real measure?

Life would be much easier if we could measure everything, like we measure weight or height. If we could determine one’s professional aptitude, degree of extroversion or other traits in this way. For the time being, traditional competency tests are here to stay. But do they actually work?

Before we go into details, let us tell you what we already know about you:

People usually like you, even if they don’t show it. You also know how to get along, but at times someone really gets on your nerves. You have a huge potential, although you are not using it fully yet. Sometimes you cut yourself off from others and need time to yourself, but in other situations you are the life of the party. You have your own unique style, but in some situations you rely on the opinion of others, especially people you look up to.

Are we right? If so, it’s pure coincidence. Here, we have applied some classic tricks used by the authors of horoscopes, pseudoscientific personality tests or lifestyle quizzes. A bunch of truisms describing standard human behaviours and reactions combined with key words such as ‘usually’, ‘sometimes’, ‘at times’, ‘it happens that’. As a result, our brain, which loves patterns and simplifications, is swept away by the magic, and we become convinced that the description is about us.

Why do people believe psychics?

The use of the word ‘magic’ is not a coincidence, because the first attempts to describe the phenomenon we now call ‘the Barnum effect’ came from watching fortune tellers at markets. This pattern was discovered by P.T. Barnum, a businessman and manager in a number of industries, including the circus business. He noted that people were often satisfied when clairvoyants cast them horoscopes which were actually a collection of generalisations about human nature. He leveraged this knowledge to grow his business (and he was so successful that even today he enjoys a reputation of one of the fathers of modern advertising).

The Barnum effect was picked up by psychologists, who supported it by a series of studies and experiments. They demonstrated that personality descriptions of this kind are accepted particularly well in some situations. Firstly, when we are convinced that the final result is unique. If we feel that it is about us and it has been prepared with us and no one else in mind, we are more likely to accept it as truth. Another thing is looking up to an authority figure who tells us the ‘truth about us’. A person who does not trust psychics in general and assumes in advance that it’s a hoax is very likely to reject the horoscope. But the same person may accept the results of a test conducted by a ‘trusted influencer’, even if they said the same as the psychic, almost word for word. And finally, the third criterion – the description must mention mainly our positive character traits.

What do pseudoscientific personality tests rely on?

Psychics, horoscopes, numerology, palmistry – all of them are non-scientific methods that “a reasonable person would immediately reject.” Unfortunately, the Barnum effect (AKA Barnum-Forer effect) can occur not only in esotericism or “What kind of cake are you” quizzes and the like. It goes beyond entertainment and can even reach the business world.

The Internet has opened the door to self-development. Professional literature, webinars, tutorials are at your fingertips, and so are tests. Thousands of tests to check your competence or score your personality. Very often, they are preceded by a presentation of underpinning facts and an allegedly scientific basis. We then go through enough questions to get the feeling that the result will be tailored to us (and a small group of others) with great precision. Sounds familiar? These are exactly the same foundations that underpin the Barnum effect. Firstly, the result is supposedly ‘tailor-made’ for the recipient. Secondly, the authors of the test gain authority by discussing the methodology.

Unfortunately, pseudoscientific tests of personality, talent or competence are difficult to tell apart from those prepared by competent scientists. Unlike horoscopes, this ‘junk science’ seems to be quite legit.

So should we sound the alarm, as we do with other hoaxes? Interestingly, it’s not necessary.